NYT is right to point out that Facebook’s recent announcement on US elections doesn’t go far enough, but their take missed some less obvious but very important problems.

With 10 weeks to go before the elections, it’s time time refresh my Senate guide. So far, I’ve been wrong about 4 out of 18 Senate races, twice higher error rate than the 3 out of 27 calls in my 2018 California primary guide, but still accurate enough to be useful. Of course, the November success rates among the elections I called right and wrong before the primaries will be the final evaluation of my predictions.

I suspect that my best contribution to the 2018 Midterms was the Tactical Voter’s Guide to California. In an open primary where you can end up with two Republicans on the general election ballot, it was important to identify Democrat front-runners early, so I did the homework. Many friends thanked me for making their down-ballot votes better informed. In 2020, we are facing a similar problem. For the presidential election to make any difference, Democrats must also hold the House and take back the Senate.

With the usual caveat that this is just one poll of only 1000 likely voters, the FairVote’s ranked choice Democratic primary poll is very informative.

With 2020 primaries already in sight, it is important to review what we learned in 2018. The outcomes of the California races that I analyzed in my Tactical Voter’s Guide last year (search for #TacticalVotersGuide on Facebook to find my original posts) matched my predictions almost perfectly, I think this makes my conclusions worth revisiting.

Самый лучший способ принятия решений – это консенсус. Многие считают, что добиться консенсуса в большом коллективе невозможно, но это не так – достаточно лишь захотеть научиться прислушиваться к другим и освоить метод формального консенсуса, которым многие неавторитарные коллективы пользуются в своей повседневной деятельности.